Breaking Defense

Who would have thought that almost 40 years after Iran and Iraq exchanged volleys of Scud missiles during the Iran-Iraq war, Scud missiles would again be fired from Iran at targets in Iraq.

A detailed analysis concludes that at least some of the missiles fired at two bases are indeed modified Scuds and that Iran has succeeded in building missiles that represent a massive improvement over the original Scud-B’s accuracy.

The newer missiles achieved an accuracy of a 10 meter to 100 meter CEP at 700 km. Given the apparent reliability value of the missiles launched to actually hit something (somewhat over 50 percent) and the apparent CEP below 100m, this strike sent a message: Iran can put hundreds of kilos of high explosive on targets within 700km of Iran that are unprotected by anti-missile capabilities.

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